President Donald Trump says he’s proud of the economy.

In a recent interview with NBC News, Trump declared, “I’m very proud of it,” taking full ownership of the country’s economic trajectory. But new polling suggests that key voting blocs — particularly non-college voters who once formed the backbone of his coalition — may be cooling.

The shift, while early, is politically significant.

A Core Voting Bloc Shows Movement

In the 2024 election, Trump carried voters without a college degree by a wide margin, winning the group by roughly 14 points.

Now, according to analysis highlighted by CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten, Trump’s net approval among non-college voters has slipped into negative territory — marking what could amount to a 20-point swing from his electoral advantage.

That kind of movement doesn’t just affect approval ratings. It reshapes the battlefield heading into 2026.

Early congressional preference polling indicates that Republicans’ once-commanding lead with these voters has narrowed considerably. While the GOP previously held a double-digit edge, recent data suggests that advantage is shrinking.

If sustained, that trend could transform competitive House districts and several Senate races.

Economic Pride vs. Economic Anxiety

Trump’s decision to explicitly tie himself to the economy represents a strategic gamble.

Markets have recently reached record levels, with major indices hitting new milestones. But stock performance does not always align with voter sentiment — particularly among working- and middle-income Americans more focused on wages, inflation, and cost of living.

Historically, presidential approval on the economy acts as a leading political indicator. When voters feel financially squeezed — regardless of macroeconomic data — the backlash often surfaces in midterm elections.

The risk for the White House is perception. If economic optimism at the top contrasts with everyday financial strain at the ground level, that gap can become politically combustible.

Impeachment Rhetoric Returns

Overlaying these polling shifts is renewed impeachment discussion among Democratic lawmakers.

Several Senate Democrats have publicly argued that aspects of Trump’s recent conduct — particularly involving executive authority and foreign policy decisions — warrant scrutiny. House Democrats have introduced resolutions outlining alleged constitutional concerns, though none have advanced under the current Republican-controlled Congress.

One focal point has been executive military action abroad without explicit congressional authorization, reigniting debate over war powers and separation of powers.

For now, impeachment remains theoretical.

Republicans hold both chambers of Congress. Conviction in the Senate would require a two-thirds majority — an extraordinarily high threshold unlikely under present alignments.

But Democrats have made clear: if they regain congressional control in 2026, impeachment proceedings would likely move forward.